Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.155863 0.180672 0.208161 0.240884 0.278785 0.321320 0.372701
2025-06-29 0.114373 0.146820 0.186573 0.238885 0.305976 0.389231 0.500567
2025-07-06 0.093492 0.128746 0.175030 0.240296 0.330095 0.449538 0.620909
2025-07-13 0.082693 0.120595 0.173245 0.251805 0.366293 0.527476 0.772461
2025-07-20 0.073745 0.113015 0.170297 0.260058 0.397555 0.600902 0.925838
2025-07-27 0.066557 0.106625 0.167679 0.267639 0.427747 0.675209 1.088790
2025-08-03 0.059540 0.099318 0.162392 0.269870 0.449171 0.737684 1.240054
2025-08-10 0.052665 0.091190 0.154565 0.266623 0.460737 0.784935 1.371282
2025-08-17 0.045946 0.082376 0.144391 0.257895 0.461548 0.813711 1.473640
2025-08-24 0.042625 0.078983 0.142920 0.263833 0.488132 0.889004 1.665945
2025-08-31 0.039000 0.074557 0.139037 0.264812 0.505615 0.949644 1.838155
2025-09-07 0.036219 0.071331 0.136898 0.268628 0.528547 1.022336 2.041024
2025-09-14 0.032421 0.065771 0.129886 0.262550 0.532284 1.060171 2.182829
2025-09-21 0.029487 0.061570 0.125032 0.260169 0.543101 1.113121 2.361952
2025-09-28 0.027310 0.058632 0.122309 0.261710 0.561927 1.183931 2.586279
2025-10-05 0.026412 0.058257 0.124740 0.274251 0.605196 1.309755 2.943133
2025-10-12 0.025247 0.057157 0.125503 0.283244 0.641777 1.425362 3.291520
2025-10-19 0.024108 0.055970 0.125930 0.291506 0.677626 1.543234 3.659268
2025-10-26 0.022611 0.053787 0.123905 0.293936 0.700408 1.634331 3.975795
2025-11-02 0.020826 0.050724 0.119543 0.290398 0.708771 1.693210 4.222501
2025-11-09 0.018822 0.046900 0.113000 0.280887 0.701673 1.714906 4.380719
2025-11-16 0.018007 0.045891 0.113008 0.287358 0.734508 1.836068 4.803102
2025-11-23 0.016935 0.044112 0.110953 0.288425 0.753868 1.926194 5.156733